Spurs’ 2% Win Probability Down 20 Points to Suns

‣ The San Antonio Spurs trailed by 30 points in the third quarter but went on to win the game against the Phoenix Suns.
‣ Keldon Johnson made a contested layup with 1.2 seconds left to give the Spurs their only lead of the game and secure the victory.
‣ The Spurs had just a 2% win probability while trailing by 20 points.


The San Antonio Spurs pulled off a stunning comeback victory against the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday night. Trailing by 18 points at halftime and facing a daunting 2% win probability while down by 30 in the third quarter, the Spurs defied the odds and emerged with a thrilling 115-114 win. Keldon Johnson played a crucial role in their comeback, leading the team in scoring with 27 points and securing the victory with a contested layup in the final seconds.

Despite this impressive win, the Spurs are not considered top contenders for the championship this season. According to several NBA betting sites, they hold the 19th-ranked odds to win the 2024 championship. Interestingly, the odds are more favorable for teams like the Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves. However, the Spurs have shown resilience in the face of adversity before, as they had a comeback win last season when they were down 20 points against the Atlanta Hawks.

Victor Wembanyama, the Spurs’ 2023 No. 1 draft pick, showcased his potential in this game. Although he struggled early on, missing his first five shots, he made a remarkable dunk in the final seconds of the first half. Wembanyama finished the night with 18 points, eight rebounds, one assist, and four blocks, contributing significantly to the team’s victory. Through four NBA games, he is averaging 16.3 points and 7.5 rebounds per game.

The Spurs’ shooting was solid, with a field goal percentage of 46.7% and a 3-point percentage of 37.8%. They also outscored the Suns by a significant margin in the paint, tallying 56 points compared to the Suns’ 40. Additionally, San Antonio overcame a 20-point deficit in the fourth quarter, outscoring Phoenix 33-19. Tre Jones also made an impact off the bench, adding 10 points and two rebounds in 24 minutes of play.

Head coach Gregg Popovich praised his team’s response following their humiliating loss to the Los Angeles Clippers. Despite making numerous mistakes, the Spurs remained resilient and continued to play their game. Popovich expressed his pride in the team’s effort and determination.

This victory was particularly significant for the Spurs as they snapped their nine-game losing streak against the Suns. They will have a chance at redemption in a rematch against the Suns on Thursday in Phoenix. Although the Suns were missing key players Bradley Beal and Devin Booker, the win still marks a positive step for the Spurs and their young star, Wembanyama.

James Shotwell
James Shotwell
James, a dedicated writer for BasketballHour, holds a degree in English and Creative Writing. A genuine sports enthusiast and skilled betting advice provider, he writes engaging articles and valuable winning strategies for sports.

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